Unlike my perfect record of winning bets against optimists (Table 1), I lost this one because I was the optimist. Now, clearly the bet was based on \u201cwishful thinking\u201d that video ubiquity could and perhaps should occur, not analysis. CUseeMe was a product in use for college students to keep in touch. Camera support in NetMeeting, PowerPoint, and NetShow would surely stimulate ubiquity within five years. Pornographic sites demonstrated that people liked video contact. $20 camera assemblies were being incorporated into cameras and portables. Intel had introduced cards and cameras for video conferencing that would stimulate the market. I was caught up in the enthusiasm of the .com build-up, with startups introducing video-mail that might \u201ckick start\u201d the bandwagon. All these things happened, In 2002, a large number of camera products can be easily connected to three-five year old PCs. Still, the ubiquity has not happened.
\nIt was also a defiant bet against naysayers \u2013 \u201cvideophones were tried between NY and Pittsburgh and demonstrated at the 1964 World\u2019s Fair, but no one wanted them \u201d, or AT&T introduced $1200 videophones aka \u201cthe Grandma phone\u201d and they aren\u2019t selling.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Unlike my perfect record of winning bets against optimists (Table 1), I lost this one because I was the optimist. Now, clearly the bet was based on \u201cwishful thinking\u201d that video ubiquity could and perhaps should occur, not analysis. CUseeMe was a product in use for college students to keep in touch. 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